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Californians Are Using Drones To Map Out El Nino

January 26, 2016 By Denise Ehrlich

"drone"

In the name of science, Californians are using drones to map out El Nino and how its damaging pattern washes across the coast. It’s a way for residents of the state to become involved in one of the gravest problems of our time: global warming.

With climate change, the rising sea levels are a major issue on the minds of scientists. By 2100, it’s estimated that waters will rise an additional 4.6 feet, which would wreak havoc across numerous beach locations, including California. In fact, property damage and critical infrastructure, such as schools and highways will be at great risk, and the cost will round up at around $100 billion.

In addition, almost half a million people will be affected, according to the Pacific Institute. Beaches in California might disappear or, at the very least, become much smaller than they are today. The problems have already begun and they won’t slow down until matters discussed at the Paris climate change talk will take effect.

Until now, California residents are doing their best and will now have the ability to get involved in the serious issue. Drone owners may send out their gadgets to fly above the coastal line, map out the damaging effects of this year’s El Nino, and forward the high resolution images to The Nature Conservancy. This has reportedly been California’s wettest winter in years, so there are likely many locations struck by the hazardous weather pattern.

Images from the latest drones can provide accurate 3D maps that will be highly useful to scientists. According to Matt Merrifield, the group’s chief technology officer, this is the most accurate way possible of building a proper model of the coastline. It would be a major help in predicting flooding patterns and create a realistic model for the future.

It’s “a piece of the puzzle” that will be needed in creating a good image of potential future consequences. According to William Patzert from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab (JPL) it’s both an awareness campaign and a “documentary for the future”. It will aid in the creation of models of how the coastline will look in the next 100 years. Which beaches will disappear, which bluffs will crumble? It’s hard to tell.

It’s difficult to capture such a major change with perfect accuracy. Depending on the decision made at the Paris talks and everything that will result after the meeting, it is possible that a more optimistic outcome is on the horizon. However, it’s a good way to directly involve citizens and raise awareness about a serious problem that could potentially affect millions of people around the world.

Image source: bloomberg.com

Filed Under: Science Tagged With: california, drones, El Niño

NOAA: El-Nino Finally Arrives, May Not Affect California Droughts

March 6, 2015 By Marlene R. Litten

El Nino of 2015

According to NOAA Climate Expert, the long-awaited El-Nino has arrived.

Yesterday, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has released an EL-Nino Advisory report.

El-Nino refers to the cycle of cold and hot temperature that is measured with surface temperature of tropical and eastern Pacific Ocean Sea.

However, this time El-Nino would not leave a considerable impact on global weather and weather patterns. Climate Experts reported that El-Nino is too weak to affect the upcoming four consecutive droughts of California.

Nonetheless, it would probably influence a few regions of the Northern Hemisphere.  This year, it is expected to transform the usual weather conditions into a bit wetter one.

Mike Halpert, director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, declares the arrival of El Nino. He states that all the latest observation of western and central equatorial Pacific Ocean confirms that El-Nino is finally here.  Numerous climate prediction models indicate that El-Nino will persist till summer season.

A group of climate predictor notifies that there are 50 to 60 percent chances that the condition will continue throughout summer.

El-Nino is significant because it is directly connected with chances of weather changes.  Even though, El-Nino occurs all around the globe, but its affects are stronger in regions near the tropics.

Normally, fishermen of Peru observe El-Nino before the rest of the world.

Filed Under: Science Tagged With: California Drought, Climate Prediction Center, El Niño, EL-Nino Advisory report, NOAA, Northern hemisphere, Peru

2014: The Hottest Year On Record

January 17, 2015 By Carol Harper

hottest-year-record-2014

Planet Earth set an unpropitious record last year as worldwide temperatures rose to the most elevated level since advanced estimations started, researchers said Friday in a report that increased worries about humankind’s rising toll on the natural systems that maintain life.

The year 2014 was pronounced the hottest year in a joint declaration by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, based on discrete examinations of climate records dating back to 1880, when Rutherford B. Hayes occupied the White House.

Determined to a limited extent by consistently warming seas, average temperatures edged past the former records set in 2005 and 2010. The 10 hottest years in contemporary times have all come since 1997, NASA researchers said.

“This is the most recent in a series of warm years, in a series of warm decades,” said Gavin Schmidt, chief of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City. While variations are conceivable in any given year in a framework as clamorous as climate, Schmidt said, “the long haul patterns are attributable to drivers of environmental change that at this moment are ruled by human emanations of greenhouse gasses.”

The dismal breakthrough was recorded in a year in which expansive parts of the American West heated under epic dry spells and heat waves, and glaciers and Arctic ice sheets proceeded with a decades-long retreat. Significant dry seasons debilitated drinking-water supplies crosswise expansive swaths of Brazil and Australia, and melting Arctic tundra opened up unlimited sinkholes in parts of Siberia and northern Canada.

In one of the uncommon exemptions to the warming pattern, 2014 was cooler than average in the eastern United States, as an unordinary plunge in the Jet Stream sent waves of Arctic air plunging southward. Eastern US states were among the coolest zones of the world, contrasted with recurring temperature standards.

However, while Americans were shuddering, the other parts of the world experienced record warmth in 7 of 12 months in 2014 — including December — a NOAA examination found.

Most shocking about the new record was the fact that it showed up in a year that did not witness an El Niño, the warm-weather trend connected with abnormally high sea temperatures in the east-central Pacific, NOAA and NASA researchers said.

“This is the first year since 1997 that the record hottest year was not an El Niño year at the start of the year, as the last three have been,” Schmidt said.

The information inspected by the US agencies affirmed that a lot of 2014’s warming was determined by the seas, the planet’s huge depository of heat. Sea temperatures were more than 1 degree above average, arriving at the most elevated levels ever recorded, NOAA said. Land temperatures weren’t fairly record-setting, yet at the same time positioned 4th-hottest since the beginning of the data set in 1880. California, a lot of Europe, including the United Kingdom, and parts of Australia all encountered their hottest years.

Climate researchers said the streak of hot years was additional proof of human-prompted warming created by the upsurge of greenhouse gasses in the environment. While the Earth’s atmosphere has warmed and cooled all through history, the late warming associates with stridently climbing levels of heat-trapping CO2 in the environment from the burning of fossil fuels, researchers say.

“The temperature record is yet another block in the huge fence of proof that the atmosphere is warming because of human activity,” said Simon Donner, associate professor of climatology at the University of British Columbia. “Of the 20 hottest years in recorded history, 19 happened in the previous two decades. Our whole thought of ‘normal’ is evolving.”

The broadly predicted finding dispirited — however did not completely disperse — an insight that the rate of warming has reduced since 1990s. A few researchers noted that 2014 was not a victory, statistically talking. The year surpassed the next runners-up by just a couple of hundredths of a Celsius degree, avearged over the globe. Some also noted that climbing temperatures have not kept pace with computer models that anticipated much quicker warming, given the 40% rise in carbon dioxide levels in the environemnt since the start of the industrial revolution.

“With 2014 basically tied with 2005 and 2010 for hottest year, this suggests that there has been basically no trend in warming over the previous decade,” said Judith Curry, professor in the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology. “This “almost” record year does not help the rising discrepancy between the atmosphere model projections and the surface temperature observations.”

However, other researchers said the spate of record-setting years must put to rest the idea of a global warming “pause.”

“Seen in setting, the record 2014 temperatures underscore the verifiable reality that we are seeing, before our eyes, the impacts of human-caused environmental change,” said Michael Mann, a professor of meteorology at Penn State University. “It is incredibly doubtful that we would be seeing a record year — amid a record warm decade, amid a multidecadal period of warmth that seems to be unrivaled over at least the previous thousand years — if it were not for the climbing levels of planet-warming gasses created by fossil fuel burning.”

The joint declaration by NOAA and NASA followed  a vigilant, joint effort in which specialists closley compared analyses. Last year, NASA and NOAA also cooperated on an examination of 2013, which ranks within the top 10 hottest years on record.

The new findings are also steady with a previous, preliminary investigation by the Japan Meteorological Agency, which declared 2014 the hottest year in its records, which retreat to 1891. Another examination based on satellite temperature recordings of the lower atmosphere or “troposphere,” led at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, found that 2014 was only the 3rd-warmest year for this part of the planet. Still another leading agency that keeps temperature records, Britain’s Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research, has not yet released its 2014 results.

 

Though, the joint NASA and NOAA declaration will likely carry considerable force in a year in which world leaders will gather in Paris to negotiate a new global agreement to ratchet down greenhouse gas emissions.

Secretary of State John F. Kerry seized on the report in calling for “ambitious, concrete action” to address the causing of climate change.

“This report is just another sound in a steady drumbeat that is growing increasingly more urgent,” Kerry said in a statement. “So the question isn’t the science. The question isn’t the warning signs. The question is when and how the world will respond.”

Filed Under: Science Tagged With: 2014 hottest year, australia, Brazil, Earth, El Niño, Gavin Schmidt, nasa, New York City, NOAA, northern Canada, Rutherford B. Hayes, Siberia

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